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Nice vs Brest

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Abdul Samed S.
15' Event
Del Castillo R.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Doumbia K.
Assist: Ajorque L.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Nice and Brest finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nice
6%
Draws
4%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nice come out ahead of Brest on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nice's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nice Clean Sheet 20%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Brest
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Brest
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Nice
4:1
May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Brest
6:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Nice
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Nice
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wahi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 85 / 100
Brest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Nice scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Brest has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Nice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Brest
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Brest

(Away)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)