Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nice vs Lens

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Allianz Riviera, Nice
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sarr M.
44'
Thauvin F.
45'
Bah J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Nice and Lens finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nice
30%
Draws
34%
Lens
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nice's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nice Clean Sheet 12%
Lens Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Lens
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 19
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Coupe de France
Lens vs Nice
3:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lens
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Nice
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lens
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Lens vs Nice
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Saint-Maximin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 35 / 100
Lens 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Lens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nice found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Lens has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Nice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Lens
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Lens

(Away)
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
17 May
Lyon
0 : 4
Lens
13 May
Lens
0 : 2
PSG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)