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Nice W vs Guingamp W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Barrier I.
64' Event
Fofana A.
65' Event
Rousseau M.

AI Match Summary

Nice W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nice W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nice W
15%
Draws
0%
Guingamp W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nice W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nice W lately — more wins on the board than Guingamp W.
  • Nice W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nice W Clean Sheet 17%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice W Guingamp W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.28 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Guingamp W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Nice W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrier I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rousseau M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Guingamp W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice W 84 / 100
Guingamp W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice W Guingamp W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nice W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Guingamp W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nice W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nice W VS Guingamp W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice W

(Home)
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1
Cannes W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
22 Aug
Nice W
1 : 2
Lens W
16 Aug
Cannes W
3 : 1
Nice W
Page 1 of 6

Guingamp W

(Away)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)