Sport Picks
Nigeria vs Sao Tome and Principe
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, Uyo 
Match Events
11'
11'
Vaz dos Ramos A. S.
13'
13'
Osimhen V.
Assist: Lookman A.
27'
27'
Lookman A.
Assist: Ndidi W.
AI Match Summary
Nigeria in this Africa Cup of Nations 2023 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nigeria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sao Tome and Principe haven't matched Nigeria's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria taking it.
- Nigeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nigeria | Sao Tome and Principe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria vs Sao Tome and Principe
6:0
Jun 13, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Sao Tome and Principe vs Nigeria
0:10
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nigeria Compare
Top Goalscorer Osimhen V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lookman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Sao Tome and Principe Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nigeria 95 / 100
Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nigeria Sao Tome and Principe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NGA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nigeria scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Sao Tome and Principe conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 8.00 goals.
Solid form: Nigeria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nigeria VS Sao Tome and Principe
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nigeria
(Home) 10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1 Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2 Nigeria
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3 Nigeria
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0 Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2 Nigeria
Page 1 of 6
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0 Zimbabwe
14 Jan
Nigeria
0 : 1 Morocco
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0 Mozambique
27 Dec
Nigeria
3 : 2 Tunisia
23 Dec
Nigeria
2 : 1 Tanzania
Page 1 of 3
Sao Tome and Principe
(Away) 31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0 Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6 Tunisia
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
24 Mar
Liberia
2 : 1 Sao Tome and Principe
21 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
2 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
06 Jun
Malawi
3 : 1 Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Guinea Bissau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 5 |
| 4 | Sao Tome and Principe | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:26 | 1 |
| 5 | Mauritius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Togo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | Eswatini | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Burundi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Kenya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Guinea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ghana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Angola | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Central Africa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Uganda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Niger | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mali | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Gambia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Congo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Comoros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Lesotho | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D.R. Congo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Mauritania | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Gabon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Sudan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | 6 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Botswana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Libya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Liberia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Mozambique | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Benin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Rwanda | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
