Sport Picks
Ninense vs Santa Maria FC
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
Ninense play Santa Maria FC in the Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ninense averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Santa Maria FC averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Ninense won 1, Santa Maria FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2014 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Ninense and 0.99 for Santa Maria FC. This points to a Santa Maria FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ninense picked up more points recently compared to Santa Maria FC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.99 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ninense | Santa Maria FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.21 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ninense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Santa Maria FC let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ninense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Santa Maria FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vilaverdense FC | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 39 |
| 2 | AD Fafe | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 39 |
| 3 | SC Vianense | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | SC Mirandela | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18:13 | 34 |
| 5 | Santa Maria FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 31 |
| 6 | Pedras Salgadas | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:15 | 23 |
| 7 | Ninense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Valenciano | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11:29 | 17 |