Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Niva Dolbizno vs FK Lida

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Dolbizno
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Kontsevoy I.
Assist: Gribovskiy R.
59'
Monich I.
64'
Sub
Pampukha P. In: Galuza D.
Out: Pampukha P.

AI Match Summary

FK Lida in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Lida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Niva Dolbizno
22%
Draws
18%
FK Lida
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Niva Dolbizno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Lida lately — more wins on the board than Niva Dolbizno.
  • Niva Dolbizno are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 16%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niva Dolbizno FK Lida
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs FK Lida
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Niva Dolbizno
7:0
Jun 14, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs FK Lida
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Niva Dolbizno
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs FK Lida
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niva Dolbizno Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedortsov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

FK Lida Compare

Top Goalscorer Kontsevoy I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chernodarov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niva Dolbizno 57 / 100
FK Lida 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niva Dolbizno FK Lida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niva Dolbizno found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: FK Lida conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Niva Dolbizno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Niva Dolbizno VS FK Lida
2.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Niva Dolbizno

(Home)
18 Jul
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 3
FC Gomel
10 Jul
FC Slonim
2 : 2
Niva Dolbizno
04 Jul
Niva Dolbizno
5 : 0
BATE 2
27 Jun
Uni X Labs
1 : 3
Niva Dolbizno
21 Jun
Niva Dolbizno
6 : 0
Molodechno
Page 1 of 6

FK Lida

(Away)
18 Jul
FK Lida
0 : 4
Zhodino
11 Jul
BATE 2
1 : 4
FK Lida
05 Jul
FK Lida
0 : 0
Uni X Labs
27 Jun
Molodechno
0 : 2
FK Lida
19 Jun
FK Lida
2 : 1
FC Gomel 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SKA-1938 Minsk16105137:1635
2Slutsk15112232:1635
3FK Lida1583427:2327
4FC Slonim1583428:1727
5Niva Dolbizno1583435:1827
6Din. Minsk 21574429:2025
7Soligorsk1574433:2025
8BumProm Gomel1573530:2124
9Volna Pinsk1572625:2523
10Molodechno1561821:3119
11FC Gomel 21545623:2117
12FC Minsk 21551918:3116
13Orsha1443715:2515
14Ostrovets1529418:2115
15Uni X Labs1543813:2415
16Smorgon1535718:2414
17BATE 21625921:4011
18Osipovichi16211318:487
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