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NK Brezice vs Podvinci

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 game between NK Brezice and Podvinci finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Brezice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
NK Brezice
20%
Draws
73%
Podvinci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Podvinci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NK Brezice come out ahead of Podvinci on wins alone.
  • Podvinci are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 10%
Podvinci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Brezice Podvinci
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Podvinci
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs NK Brezice
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs NK Brezice
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Podvinci
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs NK Brezice
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Brezice 18 / 100
Podvinci 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Brezice Podvinci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podvinci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: NK Brezice scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Podvinci let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: NK Brezice remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NK Brezice VS Podvinci
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Brezice

(Home)
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
28 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
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Podvinci

(Away)
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 0
Korotan Prevalje
05 Sept
NK Ormoz
0 : 2
Podvinci
30 Aug
Podvinci
4 : 1
Hajdina
22 Aug
Sampion Celje
1 : 1
Podvinci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)