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NK Smartno vs Dobrovce

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026
NK Smartno Logo

NK Smartno

0 - 1
FT
Dobrovce Logo

Dobrovce

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dobrovce in this 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dobrovce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
NK Smartno
15%
Draws
32%
Dobrovce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Smartno have won more games recently than Dobrovce.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on NK Smartno taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 17%
Dobrovce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Smartno Dobrovce
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.82 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Dobrovce
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 3. SNL - East
Dobrovce vs NK Smartno
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 3. SNL - East
Dobrovce vs NK Smartno
4:1
Aug 18, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Dobrovce
3:0
Mar 30, 2024 3. SNL - East
Dobrovce vs NK Smartno
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Smartno 84 / 100
Dobrovce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Smartno Dobrovce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dobrovce conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

NK Smartno found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: NK Smartno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Smartno VS Dobrovce
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Smartno

(Home)
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
7 : 1
NK Smartno
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
29 Aug
NK Smartno
3 : 0
SD Videm
22 Aug
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 0
NK Smartno
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Dobrovce

(Away)
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Dobrovce
1 : 3
Odranci
06 Sept
SD Videm
2 : 3
Dobrovce
29 Aug
Fuzinar
5 : 1
Dobrovce
22 Aug
Limbus-Pekre
3 : 1
Dobrovce
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)