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Nkoyi Bilombe vs Virunga

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2016/2017
Sun, Feb 26, 2017
3 - 0
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nkoyi Bilombe host Virunga in the Super Ligue 2016/2017. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Nkoyi Bilombe have averaged 0.65 scored and 1.26 conceded recently, against Virunga's 0.92 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, Nkoyi Bilombe have won 1 to Virunga's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2017, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.05) point toward Virunga. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nkoyi Bilombe
15%
Draws
42%
Virunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nkoyi Bilombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Virunga have won more games recently than Nkoyi Bilombe.
  • Model gives Nkoyi Bilombe a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Nkoyi Bilombe Clean Sheet 20%
Virunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkoyi Bilombe Virunga
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.65 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2017 Ligue 1
Nkoyi Bilombe vs Virunga
3:0
Sep 25, 2016 Ligue 1
Virunga vs Nkoyi Bilombe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkoyi Bilombe 67 / 100
Virunga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkoyi Bilombe Virunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkoyi Bilombe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virunga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Virunga's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nkoyi Bilombe's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nkoyi Bilombe VS Virunga
1.33 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkoyi Bilombe

(Home)
26 Feb
Nkoyi Bilombe
3 : 0
Virunga
22 Feb
Nkoyi Bilombe
1 : 0
Makiso
27 Nov
Nkoyi Bilombe
1 : 2
Muungano
24 Nov
Dauphins Noirs
2 : 1
Nkoyi Bilombe
20 Nov
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Nkoyi Bilombe
Page 1 of 5

Virunga

(Away)
13 Sept
Bazar Brothers
0 : 1
Virunga
27 Feb
AS Maniema
4 : 1
Virunga
18 Feb
Dauphins Noirs
0 : 1
Virunga
14 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Virunga
14 Feb
Virunga
1 : 2
Muungano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukavu Dawa 10 5 5 0 12:7 20
2 Muungano 10 6 2 2 12:3 20
3 Dauphins Noirs 10 6 2 2 12:6 20
4 Virunga 10 2 4 4 7:13 10
5 Nkoyi Bilombe 10 2 1 7 9:14 7
6 Makiso 10 2 0 8 8:17 6
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 18 13 4 1 37:9 43
2 Motema Pembe 18 12 5 1 37:9 41
3 OC Renaissance 18 9 5 4 30:14 32
4 RCK 18 9 2 7 28:24 29
5 AS Dragons 18 8 2 8 18:20 26
6 Shark XI 18 7 4 7 21:17 25
7 FC MK Etancheite 18 6 5 7 19:23 23
8 Veti 18 4 7 7 11:23 19
9 Rojolu 18 2 3 13 11:27 9
10 Ndombe 18 1 1 16 12:58 4
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 18 14 3 1 38:3 45
2 Sanga Balende 18 13 3 2 31:8 42
3 Don Bosco 18 11 4 3 27:13 37
4 St Eloi Lupopo 18 7 4 7 18:18 25
5 Lubumbashi Sport 18 5 6 7 13:19 21
6 Dibumba 18 5 5 8 14:25 20
7 Groupe Bazano 18 6 2 10 10:21 20
8 Ocean Pacifique 18 5 4 9 16:27 19
9 Simba 18 4 5 9 16:23 17
10 New Soger 18 1 2 15 8:34 5
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)