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Noah 2 vs Sardarapat

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The First League 2025/2026 game between Noah 2 and Sardarapat finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sardarapat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Noah 2
35%
Draws
32%
Sardarapat
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sardarapat come out ahead of Noah 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sardarapat a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Noah 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah 2 Sardarapat
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.28 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 First League
Noah 2 vs Sardarapat
0:4
Aug 25, 2025 First League
Sardarapat vs Noah 2
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah 2 18 / 100
Sardarapat 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah 2 Sardarapat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sardarapat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Noah 2's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sardarapat conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Noah 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Noah 2 VS Sardarapat
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Noah 2

(Home)
14 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 4
Ararat Yerevan 2
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 0
Andranik
18 Aug
Sardarapat 2
1 : 2
Noah 2
14 Aug
Noah 2
0 : 7
Bentonit
Page 1 of 6

Sardarapat

(Away)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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