Sport Picks
Noah Jurmala vs Valmiera
Latvia
Optibet Virsliga 2021 Tukuma pilsētas stadions, Tukums 
AI Match Summary
Noah Jurmala host Valmiera in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Noah Jurmala have averaged 0.29 scored and 3.29 conceded recently, against Valmiera's 2.79 scored and 1.15 conceded. Head-to-head, Noah Jurmala have won 0 to Valmiera's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2021, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.61) point toward Valmiera. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Valmiera carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Valmiera a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Valmiera have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Noah Jurmala | Valmiera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 1 | 25 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 26 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.29 | 2.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.29 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Valmiera conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Noah Jurmala found the back of the net in 18% of recent matches (28 games).
Valmiera lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Noah Jurmala
(Home)Valmiera
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
