Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Nomme Utd U21 Logo

Nomme Utd U21

1 - 1
FT
Flora Tallinn U21 Logo

Flora Tallinn U21

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Paltser E.
(Penalty)
89' Event
Tomingas K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Nomme Utd U21
15%
Draws
37%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 have won more games recently than Nomme Utd U21.
  • Win probability leans Flora Tallinn U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.67 2.37
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:1
Jun 30, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:3
May 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomingas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 22 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Flora Tallinn U21 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Nomme Utd U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd U21 VS Flora Tallinn U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
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Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)