Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Skvortsov M.
Assist: Iboro V.
26'
Joao Pedro
33'
Iboro V.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Nomme Utd and Levadia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nomme Utd
39%
Draws
31%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nomme Utd haven't matched Levadia's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Levadia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 3 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Levadia
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
2:4
Oct 22, 2024 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Levadia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Beglarishvili Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Skvortsov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nwankwo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 29 / 100
Levadia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Levadia conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nomme Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Levadia
3 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
17 Jul
Flora
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
11 Jul
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Kuressaare
03 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Kalju
20 Jun
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 3
Nomme Utd
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Levadia

(Away)
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3
Levadia
28 Jun
Levadia
1 : 2
Flora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)