Sport Picks
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu 
Match Events
57'
57'
Songma J.
AI Match Summary
Nong Bua Pitchaya in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nong Bua Pitchaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nong Bua Pitchaya have won more games recently than Chiangmai United.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Nong Bua Pitchaya taking it.
- Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
- History favors Nong Bua Pitchaya here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Chiangmai United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:3
Mar 20, 2022 Thai League 1
Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Songma J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Chiangmai United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 / 100
Chiangmai United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nong Bua Pitchaya Chiangmai United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nong Bua Pitchaya scored in 85% of their last 33 games.
Chiangmai United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Nong Bua Pitchaya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nong Bua Pitchaya VS Chiangmai United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nong Bua Pitchaya
(Home) 23 May
Pattani
3 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1 Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1 Police Tero
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3 Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 7
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1 Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1 Police Tero
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3 Rasisalai United
05 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 2 Khonkaen United
28 Mar
Nong Bua Pitchaya
6 : 3 Police Tero
Page 1 of 4
Chiangmai United
(Away) 25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4 Chiangmai United
18 Apr
Chiangmai United
3 : 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Apr
Chiangmai United
1 : 2 Rasisalai United
21 Mar
Khonkaen United
2 : 1 Chiangmai United
14 Mar
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 Trat FC
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4 Chiangmai United
21 Mar
Khonkaen United
2 : 1 Chiangmai United
07 Mar
Pattaya United
4 : 1 Chiangmai United
28 Feb
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 5 Chiangmai United
22 Feb
Nakhon Si United
3 : 1 Chiangmai United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
