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Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Pattaya United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Gustavo Apis
90' Event
Capistrano J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
6%
Draws
90%
Pattaya United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pattaya United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya have won more games recently than Pattaya United.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pattaya United taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%
Pattaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nong Bua Pitchaya Pattaya United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Pattaya United
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Thai League 2
Pattaya United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
4:0
Mar 23, 2024 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Pattaya United
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Thai League 2
Pattaya United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Pattaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Apis
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nong Bua Pitchaya 10 / 100
Pattaya United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nong Bua Pitchaya Pattaya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nong Bua Pitchaya's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Pattaya United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nong Bua Pitchaya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nong Bua Pitchaya VS Pattaya United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nong Bua Pitchaya

(Home)
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1
Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1
Police Tero
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 7

Pattaya United

(Away)
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2
Pattaya United
19 Apr
Pattaya United
3 : 3
Sisaket United
05 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 0
Pattaya United
21 Mar
Pattaya United
3 : 0
Kasetsart
14 Mar
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 1
Pattaya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00
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