Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nordstrand vs Ull/Kisa

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025
Sat, Apr 12, 2025
3 - 4
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Skille J.
80' Event
Shahid M.
90' Event
Aleksanjan A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Ull/Kisa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nordstrand
15%
Draws
0%
Ull/Kisa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nordstrand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nordstrand carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nordstrand taking it.
  • Nordstrand have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ull/Kisa, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Nordstrand Clean Sheet 10%
Ull/Kisa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordstrand Ull/Kisa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 2.07 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.41 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 NM Cup
Nordstrand vs Ull/Kisa
3:4
Jan 26, 2024 OBOS Supercup
Nordstrand vs Ull/Kisa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nordstrand Compare

Top Goalscorer Shahid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kling E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Ull/Kisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Skille J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aleksanjan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordstrand 83 / 100
Ull/Kisa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordstrand Ull/Kisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nordstrand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordstrand scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ull/Kisa conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ull/Kisa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordstrand VS Ull/Kisa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordstrand

(Home)
19 Sept
Nordstrand
5 : 0
Lokomotiv Oslo
12 Sept
Union Carl Berner
1 : 1
Nordstrand
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
01 Sept
Nordstrand
3 : 5
Grei
22 Aug
Nordstrand
1 : 4
Skeid
Page 1 of 6

Ull/Kisa

(Away)
20 Sept
Ull/Kisa
2 : 3
Junkeren
11 Sept
Eidsvold TF
3 : 1
Ull/Kisa
06 Sept
Ull/Kisa
0 : 5
Levanger
30 Aug
Rana FK
2 : 1
Ull/Kisa
22 Aug
Elverum
7 : 6
Ull/Kisa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
NHHI 1
Sandviken 3
Volda 1
Sogndal 2
Elverum 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ridabu 0
Kongsvinger 12
Melbo 0
Sortland 1
Ulfstind 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Trygg/Lade 0
Strindheim 1
Rindal 1
Rosenborg 11
FK Kvik 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Sverresborg IF 2
Ranheim 4
Vindbjart 0
Jerv 3
Eiger 1
Egersund 7
Gamle Oslo 2
Valerenga 1
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Sarpsborg 08 4
Orn 2
Arendal 1
Teie 0
Sandefjord 5
Nordstrand 3
Ull/Kisa 4
Rollon 0
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 2
Harstad 1
Innstrandens 0
Bodo/Glimt 8
Oppsal 0
Kjelsas 1
Rade 1
Lyn 2
Frigg 1
Lorenskog 3
Lillehammer 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 4
Fana 2
Gneist IL 0
Lysekloster 2
Djerv 1919 2
Sotra 3
Askoy 1
Asane 5
Ullern 2
Follo 5
Kvik Halden 1
Moss 3
Brodd 1
Flekkeroy 3
Hana 0
Viking 6
Fram 4
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Notodden 0
Stabaek 3
Vidar 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Nord 0
Haugesund 11
Bjorkelangen 1
Strommen 6
Brumunddal 1
Raufoss 4
Assiden 1
Mjondalen 4
Konnerud 0
Stromsgodset 5
Verdal 0
Levanger 8
Mosjoen 0
Rana FK 4
Spjelkavik 0
Traeff 2
Elnesvagen 0
Molde 7
Bjornevatn IL 0
Alta 11
Union Carl Berner 0
Skeid 3
Byasen 3
Nardo 5
Melhus 1
Kristiansund 5
Baerum 3
Grorud 4
Brattvag 1
Hodd 2
Skedsmo 0
Eidsvold TF 5
Skjetten 0
Lillestrom 5
Honefoss 0
Pors 1
Vag 2
Start 4
Flint 3
Odds BK 2
Sarpsborg FK 0
Fredrikstad 4
Torvastad IL 2
V. Haugesund 0
Varhaug 0
Bryne 4
Fjora 1
Bjarg 3
Varegg 0
Brann 6
Skjervoy 2
Floya 1
Hamna 0
Tromso 10
Ready 4
Asker 3
Grei 1
KFUM Oslo 5
1/32-finals
Sandviken 0
Sogndal 4
Elverum 2
Kongsvinger 7
Sortland 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
Strindheim 0
Rosenborg 3
Stjordals Blink 1
Ranheim 2
Jerv 0
Egersund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Sarpsborg 08 6
Orn 0
Sandefjord 2
Ull/Kisa 2
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 5
Kjelsas 0
Lyn 3
Lorenskog 0
Ham-Kam 1
OS TF 5
Lysekloster 4
Sotra 0
Asane 2
Follo 2
Moss 3
Flekkeroy 0
Viking 3
Fram 0
Stabaek 4
Vidar 1
Haugesund 2
Strommen 2
Raufoss 1
Mjondalen 2
Stromsgodset 1
Levanger 1
Rana FK 2
Traeff 1
Molde 2
Alta 3
Skeid 0
Nardo 1
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 3
Hodd 1
Eidsvold TF 0
Lillestrom 2
Pors 3
Start 2
Flint 0
Fredrikstad 5
Torvastad IL 1
Bryne 2
Bjarg 0
Brann 2
Skjervoy 0
Tromso 1
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Sogndal 3
Kongsvinger 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Rosenborg 5
Ranheim 2
Egersund 3
Sarpsborg 08 3
Sandefjord 1
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 1
Asane 4
Moss 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Haugesund 1
Strommen 1
Mjondalen 3
Rana FK 0
Molde 4
Alta 0
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
Pors 1
Fredrikstad 3
Bryne 2
Brann 1
Tromso 0
KFUM Oslo 1
1/8-finals
Kongsvinger 2
Rosenborg 3
Egersund 1
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 3
Ham-Kam 2
Asane 0
Viking 7
Stabaek 4
Mjondalen 3
Molde 3
Kristiansund 4
Lillestrom 2
Fredrikstad 1
Bryne 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Quarter-finals
Rosenborg 2
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Kristiansund 3
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Semi-finals
Sarpsborg 08 1
Viking 0
Kristiansund 0
Lillestrom 2
Final
Sarpsborg 08 1
Lillestrom 3