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North Carolina Courage W vs Utah Royals W Prediction & H2H Stats

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NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC
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Match Events

6' Event
Del Fava K.
Assist: Rabano N.
20'
Miura N.
34' Event
Milazzo T.
Assist: Rabano N.

AI Match Summary

Utah Royals W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utah Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
North Carolina Courage W
15%
Draws
64%
Utah Royals W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utah Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • North Carolina Courage W have won more games recently than Utah Royals W.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on North Carolina Courage W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 13%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina Courage W Utah Royals W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs North Carolina Courage W
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Utah Royals W
1:4
Sep 6, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Utah Royals W
1:1
May 4, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:2
May 18, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Utah Royals W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Carolina Courage W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ijeh E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Fava K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milazzo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina Courage W 48 / 100
Utah Royals W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina Courage W Utah Royals W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Carolina Courage W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Utah Royals W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

North Carolina Courage W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Carolina Courage W VS Utah Royals W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Carolina Courage W

(Home)
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
Kansas City Current W
3 : 2
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

Utah Royals W

(Away)
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3
Angel City W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2
Boston Legacy W
29 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 26 16 6 4 34:20 54
2 San Diego Wave W 26 15 3 8 38:27 48
3 Washington Spirit W 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Utah Royals W 26 14 3 9 43:34 45
5 Portland Thorns FC W 26 12 7 7 43:35 43
6 Angel City W 26 12 6 8 44:28 42
7 Kansas City Current W 26 12 5 9 43:37 41
8 Seattle Reign W 26 12 4 10 33:31 40
9 North Carolina Courage W 26 12 3 11 49:39 39
10 Denver Summit W 26 9 8 9 42:37 35
11 Orlando Pride W 26 10 3 13 35:41 33
12 Houston Dash W 26 8 6 12 32:36 30
13 Bay FC W 26 7 5 14 27:37 26
14 Boston Legacy W 26 7 5 14 32:44 26
15 Racing Louisville W 26 7 2 17 35:51 23
16 Chicago Stars W 26 5 2 19 15:60 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)