Sport Picks
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
USA
NWSL Women 2025 WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Kouassi R. In: Monday G.
Out: Kouassi R.
46'
46'
Sub
Rudd T. In: Sylla K.
Out: Rudd T.
53'
53'
Rodman T.
Assist: Hershfelt H.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women 2025 game between North Carolina Courage W and Washington Spirit W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Washington Spirit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Washington Spirit W come out ahead of North Carolina Courage W on wins alone.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Washington Spirit W taking it.
- Regular NWSL Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 15%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Carolina Courage W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
0:1
Jun 29, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Top Goalscorer Koyama S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodman T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Carolina Courage W 15 / 100
Washington Spirit W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Carolina Courage W Washington Spirit W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Carolina Courage W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Washington Spirit W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.
Recent resilience: North Carolina Courage W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
North Carolina Courage W VS Washington Spirit W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
North Carolina Courage W
(Home) 25 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 4 Utah Royals W
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0 North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 4 Utah Royals W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
16 May
North Carolina Courage W
4 : 0 Chicago Stars W
02 May
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Kansas City Current W
Page 1 of 3
Washington Spirit W
(Away) 26 Jul
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 7
19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
24 May
Club America W
5 : 3 Washington Spirit W
16 May
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 49:13 | 65 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42:33 | 44 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns FC W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:29 | 40 |
| 4 | Orlando Pride W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 40 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32:29 | 39 |
| 6 | San Diego Wave W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:34 | 37 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | 37 |
| 8 | Gotham FC W | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 36 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | 27 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:42 | 25 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:41 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago Stars W | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 32:54 | 20 |
Promotion - NWSL Women 2025 (Play Offs)
