Sport Picks
North Carolina FC vs El Paso Locomotive
USA
USL Championship 2025 WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ackwei W.
15'
15'
Waite J.
17'
17'
Sub
Sorto C. In: Alfaro J.
Out: Sorto C.
AI Match Summary
North Carolina FC in this USL Championship 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Carolina FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- North Carolina FC have won more games recently than El Paso Locomotive.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
North Carolina FC Clean Sheet 12%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Carolina FC | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs El Paso Locomotive
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs North Carolina FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Carolina FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Conway E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Carolina FC 35 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Carolina FC El Paso Locomotive
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ELP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: North Carolina FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: El Paso Locomotive conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
North Carolina FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
El Paso Locomotive's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS El Paso Locomotive
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
North Carolina FC
(Home) 09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Loudoun United
25 Oct
Loudoun United
0 : 1 North Carolina FC
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0 Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Loudoun United
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0 Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Phoenix Rising
26 Sept
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Miami FC
Page 1 of 4
El Paso Locomotive
(Away) 26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
10 Jun
Detroit City
1 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
07 Jun
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina FC | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun United | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | 27 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio FC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | 27 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2025 (Play Offs)
