Sport Picks
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
World
World Cup Women U17 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat 
Match Events
1'
1'
Kim Won-Sim
Assist: Yu Jong-Hyang
6'
6'
Ri Ui-Gyong
Assist: Kim Won-Sim
8'
8'
Nakamura K.
AI Match Summary
North Korea U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U17 W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to North Korea U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Japan U17 W.
- Win probability leans North Korea U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
- North Korea U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor North Korea U17 W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
- History favors North Korea U17 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
North Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Korea U17 W | Japan U17 W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 28 | 19 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 5.13 | 4.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 5.13 | 4.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
5:1
Nov 1, 2025 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
5:1
May 19, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:0
Oct 21, 2016 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:0
Sep 21, 2010 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Korea U17 W Compare
Top Goalscorer Kim Won-Sim
2 Goals Assists Leader Ri Ui-Gyong
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.95
Avg xA / game 2.56
Japan U17 W Compare
Top Goalscorer Nakamura K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Korea U17 W 83 / 100
Japan U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Korea U17 W Japan U17 W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: North Korea U17 W scored in 100% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
North Korea U17 W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Japan U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
North Korea U17 W VS Japan U17 W
5.13 Goals Scored 4.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
North Korea U17 W
(Home) 17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1 Japan U17 W
14 May
China U17 W
2 : 4 North Korea U17 W
11 May
North Korea U17 W
6 : 0 Thailand U17 W
08 May
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0 South Korea U17 W
05 May
Philippines U17 W
0 : 8 North Korea U17 W
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17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1 Japan U17 W
11 May
North Korea U17 W
6 : 0 Thailand U17 W
08 May
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0 South Korea U17 W
02 May
North Korea U17 W
10 : 0 Chinese Taipei U17 W
08 Nov
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0 Netherlands U17 W
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Japan U17 W
(Away) 06 Jul
Japan U17 W
2 : 1 USA U17 W
03 Jul
Japan U17 W
5 : 3 USA U17 W
17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1 Japan U17 W
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0 Australia U17 W
11 May
Japan U17 W
1 : 0 South Korea U17 W
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17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1 Japan U17 W
05 May
India U17 W
0 : 3 Japan U17 W
27 Jan
Portugal U17 W
1 : 0 Japan U17 W
24 Jan
Switzerland U17 W
2 : 3 Japan U17 W
21 Jan
Czech Republic U17 W
0 : 4 Japan U17 W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Brazil U17 W3
China U17 W0
Canada U17 W6
Zambia U17 W0
North Korea U17 W6
Morocco U17 W1
Japan U17 W4
Colombia U17 W0
Spain U17 W0
France U17 W1
USA U17 W1
Netherlands U17 W2
Mexico U17 W1
Paraguay U17 W0
Italy U17 W4
Nigeria U17 W0
Quarter-finals
Brazil U17 W1
Canada U17 W0
North Korea U17 W5
Japan U17 W1
France U17 W2
Netherlands U17 W3
Mexico U17 W1
Italy U17 W0
Semi-finals
Brazil U17 W0
North Korea U17 W2
Netherlands U17 W1
Mexico U17 W0
Final
North Korea U17 W3
Netherlands U17 W0
Brazil U17 W1
Mexico U17 W2