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North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat
North Korea U17 W Logo

North Korea U17 W

5 - 1
FT
Japan U17 W Logo

Japan U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kim Won-Sim
Assist: Yu Jong-Hyang
6' Event
Ri Ui-Gyong
Assist: Kim Won-Sim
8' Event
Nakamura K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

North Korea U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
North Korea U17 W
15%
Draws
38%
Japan U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Korea U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Japan U17 W.
  • Win probability leans North Korea U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • North Korea U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North Korea U17 W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors North Korea U17 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
North Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U17 W Japan U17 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 28 19
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 3.7 2.68
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
5:1
Nov 1, 2025 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
5:1
May 19, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:0
Oct 21, 2016 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:0
Sep 21, 2010 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Won-Sim
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ri Ui-Gyong
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U17 W 83 / 100
Japan U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U17 W Japan U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Korea U17 W scored in 100% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

North Korea U17 W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Japan U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U17 W VS Japan U17 W
5.13 Goals Scored 4.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U17 W

(Home)
17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1
Japan U17 W
14 May
China U17 W
2 : 4
North Korea U17 W
11 May
North Korea U17 W
6 : 0
Thailand U17 W
08 May
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0
South Korea U17 W
05 May
Philippines U17 W
0 : 8
North Korea U17 W
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Japan U17 W

(Away)
06 Jul
Japan U17 W
2 : 1
USA U17 W
03 Jul
Japan U17 W
5 : 3
USA U17 W
17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1
Japan U17 W
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0
Australia U17 W
11 May
Japan U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Brazil U17 W 3
China U17 W 0
Canada U17 W 6
Zambia U17 W 0
North Korea U17 W 6
Morocco U17 W 1
Japan U17 W 4
Colombia U17 W 0
Spain U17 W 0
France U17 W 1
USA U17 W 1
Netherlands U17 W 2
Mexico U17 W 1
Paraguay U17 W 0
Italy U17 W 4
Nigeria U17 W 0
Quarter-finals
Brazil U17 W 1
Canada U17 W 0
North Korea U17 W 5
Japan U17 W 1
France U17 W 2
Netherlands U17 W 3
Mexico U17 W 1
Italy U17 W 0
Semi-finals
Brazil U17 W 0
North Korea U17 W 2
Netherlands U17 W 1
Mexico U17 W 0
Final
North Korea U17 W 3
Netherlands U17 W 0
Brazil U17 W 1
Mexico U17 W 2