Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Korea U20 W vs South Korea U20 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024 Dustlik Stadium, Tashkent
North Korea U20 W Logo

North Korea U20 W

3 - 0
FT
South Korea U20 W Logo

South Korea U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Choe Il-Son
51' Event
Kum Jong
Assist: Choe Il-Son
78' Event
Hwang Yu-Yong
Assist: Jon Ryong-Jong
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with North Korea U20 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
North Korea U20 W
6%
Draws
4%
South Korea U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • North Korea U20 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on North Korea U20 W taking it.
  • North Korea U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North Korea U20 W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and North Korea U20 W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
North Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
South Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U20 W South Korea U20 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 24 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 7.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 7.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
5:0
Mar 13, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Choe Il-Son
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kum Jong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 5.87
Avg xA / game 3.81

South Korea U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U20 W 95 / 100
South Korea U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U20 W South Korea U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Korea U20 W scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Defensive concern: South Korea U20 W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: North Korea U20 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U20 W VS South Korea U20 W
7.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U20 W

(Home)
18 Apr
Japan U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
15 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
12 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
Australia U20 W
08 Apr
North Korea U20 W
5 : 0
South Korea U20 W
05 Apr
Uzbekistan U20 W
0 : 6
North Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 6

South Korea U20 W

(Away)
09 Jun
South Korea U20 W
1 : 2
Finland U23 W
06 Jun
Brazil U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
03 Jun
Portugal U20 W
2 : 0
South Korea U20 W
15 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
12 Apr
Thailand U20 W
1 : 2
South Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Australia U20 W1
Japan U20 W5
North Korea U20 W3
South Korea U20 W0
Final
Japan U20 W1
North Korea U20 W2
Australia U20 W1
South Korea U20 W0