Sport Picks
Northampton vs Barnsley
England
League One 2025/2026 Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 
Match Events
37'
37'
Cleary R.
Assist: Kelly P.
46'
46'
Sub
Bradshaw T. In: Phillips A.
Out: Bradshaw T.
55'
55'
O'Keeffe C.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between Northampton and Barnsley finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barnsley.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Northampton haven't matched Barnsley's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Northampton Clean Sheet 14%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northampton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2026 League One
Northampton vs Barnsley
0:1
Feb 3, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Northampton
2:2
Feb 25, 2025 League One
Northampton vs Barnsley
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 League One
Barnsley vs Northampton
2:2
Apr 27, 2024 League One
Barnsley vs Northampton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Northampton Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Barnsley Compare
Top Goalscorer Cleary R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northampton 31 / 100
Barnsley 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northampton Barnsley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barnsley let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Northampton scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Northampton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Northampton VS Barnsley
1 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Northampton
(Home) 28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0 Northampton
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3 Northampton
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0 Northampton
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3 Plymouth
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3 Plymouth
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1 Barnsley
18 Apr
Northampton
1 : 3 Doncaster
06 Apr
Northampton
1 : 3 Wigan
Page 1 of 3
Barnsley
(Away) 25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2 Barnsley
18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0 Barnsley
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1 Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2 Barnsley
02 May
Barnsley
1 : 3 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2 Barnsley
18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0 Barnsley
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1 Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2 Barnsley
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
