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Northern Ireland U19 vs Azerbaijan U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U19 play Azerbaijan U19 in the Euro U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Northern Ireland U19 averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Azerbaijan U19 averaged 0.72 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Ireland U19 won 2, Azerbaijan U19 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Northern Ireland U19 and 1.25 for Azerbaijan U19. This points to a Northern Ireland U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Northern Ireland U19
24%
Draws
28%
Azerbaijan U19
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Northern Ireland U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Northern Ireland U19 picked up more points recently compared to Azerbaijan U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Northern Ireland U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Azerbaijan U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U19 Azerbaijan U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.69 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Euro U19
Northern Ireland U19 vs Azerbaijan U19
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Euro U19
Northern Ireland U19 vs Azerbaijan U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Azerbaijan U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U19 47 / 100
Azerbaijan U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U19 Azerbaijan U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Northern Ireland U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Northern Ireland U19 attacking → ← attacking Azerbaijan U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland U19 scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Azerbaijan U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Northern Ireland U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Azerbaijan U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 22
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U19330013:39
2Kazakhstan U1931113:34
3Ireland U1931023:53
4Cyprus U1930121:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U1933008:29
2Hungary U1931115:34
3Bulgaria U1931115:34
4Faroe Islands U1930030:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Turkey U19330011:19
2Greece U19320111:26
3Belarus U1931025:43
4Liechtenstein U1930030:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria U1933008:19
2Slovenia U1931116:44
3Israel U1930213:52
4Luxembourg U1930121:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ukraine U1933009:09
2Slovakia U1931113:34
3Montenegro U1931021:63
4Albania U1930120:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia U19330014:19
2Serbia U1932018:56
3Georgia U1931022:53
4Gibraltar U1930030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Romania U1932108:27
2Finland U1931114:44
3Iceland U1931025:63
4Andorra U1931022:73
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U19330013:09
2Latvia U1931114:104
3Lithuania U1931023:53
4Scotland U1930123:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Italy U1932109:07
2Poland U1932014:36
3Moldova U1931022:103
4Bosnia & Herzegovina U1930121:31
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Denmark U19320113:16
2Sweden U1932013:16
3Switzerland U1932014:76
4San Marino U1930030:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal U1931206:35
2Belgium U1931203:25
3North Macedonia U1931023:53
4Estonia U1930212:42
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U19330014:19
2Norway U1932019:26
3Kosovo U1931023:93
4Armenia U1930030:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Czech Republic U19321012:37
2Northern Ireland U1932012:46
3Azerbaijan U1931023:83
4Malta U1930123:51