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Stadium Background

Northern Ireland W vs Turkey W

World World

World Cup Women Mourneview Park
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sakar F.
23'
Sub
Altunkulak S. In: Cin M.
Out: Altunkulak S.
24' Event
Turkoglu E.

AI Match Summary

Turkey W in this World Cup Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turkey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Northern Ireland W
33%
Draws
40%
Turkey W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Turkey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turkey W lately — more wins on the board than Northern Ireland W.
  • Win probability leans Turkey W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal World Cup Women game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Turkey W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%
Turkey W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland W Turkey W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Turkey W vs Northern Ireland W
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Northern Ireland W vs Turkey W
0:1
Nov 18, 2006 Euro Women
Northern Ireland W vs Turkey W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Turkey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Turkoglu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland W 26 / 100
Turkey W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland W Turkey W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Turkey W conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Northern Ireland W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland W VS Turkey W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wales W642017:514
2Czech Republic W632118:811
3Albania W62139:147
4Montenegro W60156:231
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland W651018:516
2Turkey W641111:513
3Northern Ireland W620410:96
4Malta W60064:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal W650117:415
2Finland W650115:615
3Slovakia W62048:176
4Latvia W60064:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland W642024:214
2Belgium W642022:114
3Israel W620410:206
4Luxembourg W60061:340