Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Haaland E.
Assist: Nusa A.
46'
46'
Sub
Ostigard L. In: Pedersen M.
Out: Ostigard L.
52'
52'
Sorloth A.
AI Match Summary
Norway in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norway.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norway
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Norway have won more games recently than Slovenia.
- Norway are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Norway Clean Sheet 68%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Norway | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.6 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.77 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
1:4
Oct 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Slovenia
3:0
Sep 24, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
2:1
Jun 9, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Slovenia
0:0
Nov 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Norway Compare
Top Goalscorer Haaland E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sorloth A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89
Slovenia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Norway 77 / 100
Slovenia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Norway Slovenia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Norway Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Norway's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Slovenia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Norway went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Norway VS Slovenia
2.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Norway
(Home) 11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2 England
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2 Norway
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2 Norway
26 Jun
Norway
1 : 4 France
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2 Senegal
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2 England
26 Jun
Norway
1 : 4 France
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2 Senegal
01 Jun
Norway
3 : 1 Sweden
31 Mar
Norway
0 : 0 Switzerland
Page 1 of 4
Slovenia
(Away) 07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1 Slovenia
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1 Cyprus
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3 Slovenia
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0 Slovenia
18 Nov
Sweden
1 : 1 Slovenia
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1 Slovenia
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3 Slovenia
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0 Slovenia
18 Nov
Sweden
1 : 1 Slovenia
10 Oct
Kosovo
0 : 0 Slovenia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
