Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norway W vs France W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Saevik K. In: Gaupset S.
Out: Saevik K.
62'
Sub
Boe Risa V. In: Kielland J.
Out: Boe Risa V.
62'
Sub
Jensen S. In: Naalsund L.
Out: Jensen S.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Norway W and France W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Norway W
39%
Draws
30%
France W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • France W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Norway W Clean Sheet 16%
France W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway W France W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Norway W vs France W
0:2
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
France W vs Norway W
1:0
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
France W vs Norway W
0:0
Oct 27, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Norway W vs France W
1:2
Feb 21, 2023 Tournoi de France Women
France W vs Norway W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

France W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baltimore S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway W 31 / 100
France W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway W France W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway W scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

France W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Norway W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Norway W VS France W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway W

(Home)
09 Jun
Norway W
2 : 1
Austria W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Slovenia W
2 : 3
Norway W
14 Apr
Norway W
5 : 0
Slovenia W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
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France W

(Away)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany W651026:416
2Netherlands W632111:1011
3Austria W62045:166
4Scotland W60153:151
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France W660014:218
2Norway W62224:58
3Iceland W60426:94
4Switzerland W60244:122
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain W650121:815
2England W631216:610
3Belgium W62049:166
4Portugal W61145:214
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden W633013:612
2Italy W631211:710
3Denmark W63038:139
4Wales W60244:102
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)