Sport Picks
Notaresco Calcio vs Albalonga
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 
Match Events
38'
38'
Ingretolli C.
40'
40'
Buonavoglia S.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Notaresco Calcio in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Albalonga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Albalonga lately — more wins on the board than Notaresco Calcio.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Albalonga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Notaresco Calcio, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 15%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notaresco Calcio | Albalonga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Notaresco Calcio vs Albalonga
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notaresco Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Albalonga Compare
Top Goalscorer Ingretolli C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notaresco Calcio 31 / 100
Albalonga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notaresco Calcio Albalonga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Albalonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Albalonga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.
Notaresco Calcio's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Notaresco Calcio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Notaresco Calcio VS Albalonga
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Notaresco Calcio
(Home) 20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
12 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ostiamare
22 Mar
Notaresco Calcio
4 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 3
Albalonga
(Away) 20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0 Albalonga
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1 Citta di Anagni
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Albalonga
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0 Albalonga
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0 Albalonga
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Albalonga
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0 Albalonga
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0 Albalonga
12 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 2 Albalonga
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
