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Notaresco Calcio vs Unipomezia

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Okojie E.

AI Match Summary

Unipomezia in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Notaresco Calcio
30%
Draws
47%
Unipomezia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Unipomezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Unipomezia have won more games recently than Notaresco Calcio.
  • Unipomezia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Unipomezia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Unipomezia, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Unipomezia have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 11%
Unipomezia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notaresco Calcio Unipomezia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Unipomezia
1:2
Nov 19, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Notaresco Calcio vs Unipomezia
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Unipomezia vs Notaresco Calcio
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Unipomezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Okojie E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 18 / 100
Unipomezia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notaresco Calcio Unipomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unipomezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Notaresco Calcio found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Unipomezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Notaresco Calcio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS Unipomezia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Notaresco Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Unipomezia

(Away)
20 Sept
Unipomezia
2 : 0
Ossese
16 Sept
Citta di Anagni
0 : 2
Unipomezia
13 Sept
Unipomezia
1 : 1
US Venafro
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1
Unipomezia
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0