Sport Picks
Notec Czarnkow vs Cartusia Kartuzy
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Kuskowski M.
22'
22'
Reclaw A.
41'
41'
Szulc H.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Notec Czarnkow and Cartusia Kartuzy finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notec Czarnkow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Notec Czarnkow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Notec Czarnkow carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Notec Czarnkow taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 20%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notec Czarnkow | Cartusia Kartuzy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Cartusia Kartuzy
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Notec Czarnkow
3:2
Mar 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Cartusia Kartuzy
3:1
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Notec Czarnkow
1:1
May 3, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Cartusia Kartuzy
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notec Czarnkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuskowski M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Szulc H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Cartusia Kartuzy Compare
Top Goalscorer Reclaw A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abbott Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notec Czarnkow 85 / 100
Cartusia Kartuzy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notec Czarnkow Cartusia Kartuzy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cartusia Kartuzy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Notec Czarnkow scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Notec Czarnkow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Notec Czarnkow VS Cartusia Kartuzy
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Notec Czarnkow
(Home) 22 Jul
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 CHKS Polonia Chodziez
15 Jul
Notec Czarnkow
6 : 0 Sparta Brodnica
11 Jul
Polkowice
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
30 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 3 Notec Czarnkow
23 May
Elana Torun
0 : 3 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 CHKS Polonia Chodziez
15 Jul
Notec Czarnkow
6 : 0 Sparta Brodnica
13 May
Notec Czarnkow
2 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 May
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 1 Unia Swarzedz
25 Apr
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 2 Nowe Skalmierzyce
Page 1 of 3
Cartusia Kartuzy
(Away) 30 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 2 Zawisza
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0 Cartusia Kartuzy
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Luzino
3 : 0 Cartusia Kartuzy
09 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 7
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0 Cartusia Kartuzy
13 May
Luzino
3 : 0 Cartusia Kartuzy
01 May
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Cartusia Kartuzy
18 Apr
Unia Swarzedz
4 : 1 Cartusia Kartuzy
11 Apr
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 2 Cartusia Kartuzy
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
