Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Notec Czarnkow

2 - 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Kuskowski M.

61'

Kaczmarek A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Notec Czarnkow in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notec Czarnkow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Notec Czarnkow

Draws

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Notec Czarnkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Notec Czarnkow at 1.88 per game, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol at 1.63.
90% — that's where the model lands on Notec Czarnkow taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 20%

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Notec Czarnkow	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	13
Draws	5	5
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

2:0

Oct 24, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Notec Czarnkow

2:6

Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

2:4

Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group II

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Notec Czarnkow

2:2

Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group II

Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuskowski M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kaczmarek A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notec Czarnkow 85 / 100

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Notec Czarnkow Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Notec Czarnkow scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Notec Czarnkow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notec Czarnkow VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

1.88 Goals Scored 1.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notec Czarnkow

(Home)

15 Jul

Notec Czarnkow

6 : 0

Sparta Brodnica

11 Jul

Polkowice

2 : 0

Notec Czarnkow

30 May

Wda Swiecie

1 : 3

Notec Czarnkow

23 May

Elana Torun

0 : 3

Notec Czarnkow

17 May

Blekitni Stargard

1 : 1

Notec Czarnkow

Page 1 of 6

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)

18 Jul

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

0 : 3

Ol. Grudziadz

15 Jul

Warta Sieradz

2 : 1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

08 Jul

Zawisza

1 : 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

30 May

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

2 : 1

Nowe Skalmierzyce

23 May

Kluczevia Stargard

1 : 2

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15

Promotion - Division 2 (Main)

Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)