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Nottingham U21 vs Millwall U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Berry A.
34' Event
Berry A.
74' Event
Celestine-Charles J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nottingham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
0%
Millwall U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nottingham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nottingham U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Millwall U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Millwall U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.42 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2025 Premier League Cup
Millwall U21 vs Nottingham U21
1:4
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Millwall U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berry A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Millwall U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Celestine-Charles J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 85 / 100
Millwall U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Millwall U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U21's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Millwall U21 has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Millwall U21 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Millwall U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 7

Millwall U21

(Away)
15 Sept
Millwall U21
0 : 3
Bolton U21
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 0
Millwall U21
25 Aug
Millwall U21
2 : 4
Huddersfield U21
14 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 0
Millwall U21
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)