Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Deratti J.
30'
30'
Rolando M.
46'
46'
Sub
Khailoti O. In: Lartey S.
Out: Khailoti O.
AI Match Summary
Lumezzane in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lumezzane.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lumezzane
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lumezzane lately — more wins on the board than Novara.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Novara Clean Sheet 20%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novara | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Novara
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Lumezzane
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Novara
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Novara
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Lumezzane
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novara Compare
Top Goalscorer Collodel R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Lumezzane Compare
Top Goalscorer Rolando M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anatriello G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novara 32 / 100
Lumezzane 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novara Lumezzane
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Novara scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Novara stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Lumezzane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Novara VS Lumezzane
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Novara
(Home) 20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
03 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Livorno
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
03 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Livorno
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1 Inter U23
Page 1 of 3
Lumezzane
(Away) 21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0 Lumezzane
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0 Lumezzane
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
