Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novelda CF vs Olimpic Xativa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between Novelda CF and Olimpic Xativa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Novelda CF
15%
Draws
51%
Olimpic Xativa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpic Xativa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpic Xativa come out ahead of Novelda CF on wins alone.
  • Novelda CF are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 68%
Olimpic Xativa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF Olimpic Xativa
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.04 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Olimpic Xativa vs Novelda CF
1:2
Feb 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Olimpic Xativa
2:0
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Olimpic Xativa
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Olimpic Xativa vs Novelda CF
2:0
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Olimpic Xativa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 50 / 100
Olimpic Xativa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF Olimpic Xativa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novelda CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Olimpic Xativa let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Difficult form: Olimpic Xativa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Olimpic Xativa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 6

Olimpic Xativa

(Away)
01 May
Olimpic Xativa
1 : 0
Orihuela
24 Apr
Castellon B
1 : 0
Olimpic Xativa
17 Apr
Olimpic Xativa
2 : 0
Recambios Colon
13 Apr
Hercules B
5 : 1
Olimpic Xativa
09 Apr
Olimpic Xativa
0 : 2
Acero
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alzira 20 10 8 2 29:12 38
2 Roda 20 9 8 3 28:16 35
3 Atletico Saguntino 20 7 10 3 30:27 31
4 Villarreal C 20 6 12 2 32:18 30
5 Silla CF 20 5 10 5 20:21 25
6 Recambios Colon 20 5 8 7 16:19 23
7 Benicarlo 20 4 10 6 22:21 22
8 Torrent 20 4 9 7 17:25 21
9 Acero 20 4 8 8 18:25 20
10 Paterna 20 3 11 6 14:25 20
11 Vilamarxant 20 3 6 11 13:30 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 18 12 5 1 30:11 41
2 Ilicitano 18 11 5 2 33:17 38
3 CF Intercity 18 10 7 1 30:8 37
4 Olimpic Xativa 18 7 4 7 22:24 25
5 UD Beniganim 18 5 5 8 14:30 20
6 Espanol de San Vicente 18 5 4 9 17:23 19
7 Crevillente 18 5 4 9 17:24 19
8 Hercules B 18 4 6 8 13:17 18
9 Villajoyosa 18 4 5 9 17:27 17
10 Novelda CF 18 3 3 12 15:27 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)