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Novelda CF vs Vilamarxant

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novelda CF in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Novelda CF
20%
Draws
16%
Vilamarxant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novelda CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vilamarxant haven't matched Novelda CF's recent run of results.
  • Novelda CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 68%
Vilamarxant Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF Vilamarxant
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.04 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Vilamarxant
2:1
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vilamarxant vs Novelda CF
2:2
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vilamarxant vs Novelda CF
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Vilamarxant
1:0
Jan 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vilamarxant vs Novelda CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 95 / 100
Vilamarxant 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF Vilamarxant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novelda CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Vilamarxant has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vilamarxant lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novelda CF VS Vilamarxant
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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Vilamarxant

(Away)
04 Jun
Hercules B
5 : 0
Vilamarxant
30 May
Vilamarxant
0 : 4
Villajoyosa
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
09 May
Crevillente
1 : 0
Vilamarxant
01 May
Vilamarxant
0 : 0
Hercules B
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