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Stadium Background

Novese vs Borgosesia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 game between Novese and Borgosesia Calcio finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borgosesia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Novese
20%
Draws
80%
Borgosesia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Borgosesia Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Borgosesia Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Novese Clean Sheet 24%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novese Borgosesia Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 3
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 22
Goals Scored 0.43 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:5
Nov 1, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Novese
1:2
May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:0
Dec 20, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Novese
4:2
Apr 12, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Novese
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novese 10 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novese Borgosesia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borgosesia Calcio conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Novese scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Borgosesia Calcio has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Borgosesia Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novese

(Home)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
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Borgosesia Calcio

(Away)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)