Sport Picks

Bosnia and Herzegovina

FBiH 2018/2019

HNK Orasje

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novi Travnik play HNK Orasje in the FBiH 2018/2019. HNK Orasje are favorites here. Recently, Novi Travnik averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. HNK Orasje averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Novi Travnik won 0, HNK Orasje won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 16, 2019 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Novi Travnik and 1.43 for HNK Orasje. This points to a HNK Orasje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Novi Travnik

21%

Draws

58%

HNK Orasje

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: HNK Orasje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Novi Travnik picked up more points recently compared to HNK Orasje.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Novi Travnik Clean Sheet 17%

HNK Orasje Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Novi Travnik	HNK Orasje
Matches Played	30	17
Wins	4	7
Draws	7	3
Losses	19	7
Goals Scored	0.67	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2019 Prva Liga - FBiH

Novi Travnik vs HNK Orasje

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Aug 25, 2018 Prva Liga - FBiH

HNK Orasje vs Novi Travnik

Possession: 40% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Apr 22, 2017 Prva Liga - FBiH

HNK Orasje vs Novi Travnik

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sep 25, 2016 Prva Liga - FBiH

Novi Travnik vs HNK Orasje

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Apr 30, 2016 Prva Liga - FBiH

HNK Orasje vs Novi Travnik

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Travnik 22 / 100

HNK Orasje 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Novi Travnik HNK Orasje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Orasje Win (2)

Secondary Pick HNK Orasje & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Novi Travnik attacking → ← attacking HNK Orasje

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novi Travnik scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

HNK Orasje let in goals in 76% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Novi Travnik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

HNK Orasje lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 24

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velez Mostar	30	24	4	2	78:18	76
2	Olimpik Sarajevo	30	21	6	3	58:18	69
3	TOSK Tesanj	30	13	6	11	46:43	45
4	Gorazde	30	13	5	12	48:36	44
5	Gradacac	30	13	5	12	44:43	44
6	HNK Orasje	30	12	8	10	37:36	44
7	Kakanj	30	13	4	13	51:49	43
8	Jedinstvo Bihac	30	13	4	13	31:41	43
9	Metalleghe	30	12	6	12	39:38	42
10	Bratstvo Gracanica	30	13	3	14	36:37	42
11	Capljina	30	13	3	14	39:51	42
12	Zivinice	30	13	2	15	41:41	41
13	Igman Konjic	30	11	7	12	30:27	40
14	NK Vitez	30	9	7	14	28:41	34
15	Novi Travnik	30	4	7	19	20:55	19
16	Visoko	30	3	3	24	16:68	12