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Novo Esporte vs Coimbra Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
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Match Events

7' Event
Leo Guerra
13' Event
Fabricio Moura

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2025 game between Novo Esporte and Coimbra Esporte Clube finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coimbra Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Novo Esporte
22%
Draws
18%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Novo Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Novo Esporte a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 16%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Esporte Coimbra Esporte Clube
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novo Esporte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Coimbra Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Guerra
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabricio Moura
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Esporte 57 / 100
Coimbra Esporte Clube 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Esporte Coimbra Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Esporte's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Defensive concern: Coimbra Esporte Clube conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Novo Esporte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Novo Esporte VS Coimbra Esporte Clube
1.17 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novo Esporte

(Home)
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Novo Esporte
0 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
09 Nov
Boa
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
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Coimbra Esporte Clube

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24 Jun
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Aymores
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coimbra Esporte Clube541010:313
2Boa532011:411
3Paracatu52216:48
4Novo Esporte52125:57
5Tupi-MG51044:113
6Essube50051:100
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