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Novoperario vs Aquidauanense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
42' Event
93' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2023 game between Novoperario and Aquidauanense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novoperario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Novoperario
20%
Draws
60%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aquidauanense come out ahead of Novoperario on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aquidauanense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Novoperario Clean Sheet 17%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novoperario Aquidauanense
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.96 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Novoperario
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
1:1
Mar 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
3:0
Jan 28, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Novoperario
1:0
Apr 7, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novoperario 15 / 100
Aquidauanense 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novoperario Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquidauanense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Novoperario stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Novoperario's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquidauanense
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Novoperario

(Home)
02 Mar
Novoperario
0 : 0
Dourados
24 Feb
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Novoperario
21 Feb
Novoperario
1 : 1
Corumbaense
17 Feb
Novoperario
3 : 2
Ivinhema
04 Feb
Dourados
2 : 1
Novoperario
Page 1 of 6

Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)