Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novorizontino vs Santos

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Novorizontino Logo

Novorizontino

2 - 1
FT
Santos Logo

Santos

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Romulo
Assist: Tavinho
46'
Sub
Ortiz C. In: Matheus Bianqui
Out: Ortiz C.
46'
Sub
Gabriel Menino In: Gabriel Bontempo
Out: Gabriel Menino
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Novorizontino
15%
Draws
46%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos come out ahead of Novorizontino on wins alone.
  • Model gives Novorizontino a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Santos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Novorizontino, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Santos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Santos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Santos
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Paulista
Santos vs Novorizontino
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Santos
0:0
Sep 24, 2024 Serie B
Santos vs Novorizontino
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Santos
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Naldi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Bontempo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 50 / 100
Santos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Novorizontino scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Santos let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Novorizontino has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Santos
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

Santos

(Away)
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Novorizontino 2
Santos 1
Portuguesa 1
Corinthians 2
Palmeiras 4
Capivariano 0
Bragantino 1
Sao Paulo 2
Semi-finals
Novorizontino 1
Corinthians 0
Palmeiras 2
Sao Paulo 1
Final
Novorizontino 1
Palmeiras 3