Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueva Cliza vs Municipal de Tarija

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nueva Cliza in this Copa Simon Bolivar tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nueva Cliza
44%
Draws
20%
Municipal de Tarija
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Municipal de Tarija have won more games recently than Nueva Cliza.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Municipal de Tarija arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nueva Cliza, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nueva Cliza Clean Sheet 17%
Municipal de Tarija Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Cliza Municipal de Tarija
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Municipal de Tarija vs Nueva Cliza
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Nueva Cliza vs Municipal de Tarija
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Cliza 36 / 100
Municipal de Tarija 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Cliza Municipal de Tarija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MDT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Nueva Cliza scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Municipal de Tarija let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Nueva Cliza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Cliza VS Municipal de Tarija
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Cliza

(Home)
09 Nov
San Juan FC
3 : 0
Nueva Cliza
01 Nov
Nueva Cliza
1 : 1
San Juan FC
25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3
Nueva Cliza
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
27 Sept
Nueva Cliza
0 : 0
Nacional Sucre
Page 1 of 6

Municipal de Tarija

(Away)
25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3
Nueva Cliza
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0
Pucarani
20 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
8 : 0
Universitario de Pando
13 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 2
Municipal de Tarija
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo Shalon3
San Juan FC6
Nueva Cliza6
Municipal de Tarija1
Fancesa2
Universitario de Sucre7
Olympic FC1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
CD Guadalajara2
Real Potosi4
Pucarani1
Rio San Juan2
CD Ingenio4
Tiquipaya7
Torre Fuerte3
1 de Mayo4
Quarter-finals
San Juan FC4
Nueva Cliza1
Universitario de Sucre4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Real Potosi2
Rio San Juan0
Tiquipaya1
1 de Mayo2
Semi-finals
San Juan FC6
Universitario de Sucre3
Real Potosi3
1 de Mayo2
Final
San Juan FC1
Real Potosi5