Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueve de Octubre vs 22 de Julio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Asprilla G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Nueve de Octubre and 22 de Julio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueve de Octubre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nueve de Octubre
6%
Draws
4%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • 22 de Julio haven't matched Nueve de Octubre's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nueve de Octubre taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre 22 de Julio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs 22 de Julio
1:0
May 3, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Nueve de Octubre
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Mar 18, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs 22 de Julio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprilla G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

22 de Julio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 95 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nueve de Octubre went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nueve de Octubre's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

22 de Julio let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: 22 de Julio registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS 22 de Julio
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueve de Octubre

(Home)
25 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
22 de Julio
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
04 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 1
Nueve de Octubre
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
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22 de Julio

(Away)
25 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
22 de Julio
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
02 Jul
Cumbaya
4 : 0
22 de Julio
09 Jun
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Atletico FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)