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Numancia vs Guadalajara

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Numancia
15%
Draws
16%
Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Numancia lately — more wins on the board than Guadalajara.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Numancia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guadalajara have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Numancia Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia Guadalajara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Numancia vs Guadalajara
1:4
Apr 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Guadalajara vs Numancia
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Numancia vs Guadalajara
0:2
May 11, 2013 LaLiga2
Numancia vs Guadalajara
2:2
Dec 8, 2012 LaLiga2
Guadalajara vs Numancia
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 85 / 100
Guadalajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Numancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Numancia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Numancia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Guadalajara
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Zaragoza
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Guadalajara

(Away)
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Guadalajara
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