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Nuova vs International Balesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nuova play International Balesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 4 2017/2018. International Balesti are favorites here. Recently, Nuova averaged 0.27 goals scored and 4.73 conceded. International Balesti averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. In past meetings, Nuova won 0, International Balesti won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Nuova and 3.19 for International Balesti. This points to a International Balesti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nuova
15%
Draws
62%
International Balesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: International Balesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Nuova picked up more points recently compared to International Balesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 3.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nuova Clean Sheet 10%
International Balesti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova International Balesti
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 28 20
Goals Scored 0.27 0.83
Goals Conceded 4.73 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Nuova vs International Balesti
0:1
Oct 28, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 4
International Balesti vs Nuova
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova 23 / 100
International Balesti 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova International Balesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick International Balesti Win (2)
Secondary Pick International Balesti & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nuova attacking → ← attacking International Balesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nuova scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

International Balesti let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nuova went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

International Balesti lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 19
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
6.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Viitorul Targu Jiu26206070:1466
2CSM Resita26176364:1857
3Sebis26175467:2256
4CS Municipal Lugoj26165561:3353
5CS U Craiova 2261331055:3442
6Soimii Lipova26107941:3837
7CSO Filiasi2699836:3036
8CSM Deva26881044:3832
9Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii26951241:4132
10Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei26771244:5628
11FC Hermannstadt 226761342:6227
12Giarmata26751445:5826
13International Balesti26341919:6313
14Nuova2602248:130-14