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Nurnberg II vs Burghausen Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Wiezorrek M.
41' Event
Ustel N.
57' Event
Leitner M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern game between Nurnberg II and Burghausen finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nurnberg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Nurnberg II
15%
Draws
53%
Burghausen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burghausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Nurnberg II have managed 1.75 goals a game lately — Burghausen are scoring more at 1.8.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nurnberg II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nurnberg II Clean Sheet 10%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg II Burghausen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Burghausen
3:1
Apr 28, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Nurnberg II
3:4
Aug 9, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Burghausen
2:1
May 17, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Nurnberg II
3:3
Oct 26, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Burghausen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nurnberg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiezorrek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ustel N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Burghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Leitner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg II 34 / 100
Burghausen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg II Burghausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burghausen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Nurnberg II's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Burghausen conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Nurnberg II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg II VS Burghausen
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg II

(Home)
25 Sept
Furth II
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
20 Sept
Munich 1860
2 : 0
Nurnberg II
15 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
05 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 2
1. FC Schweinfurt
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Burghausen

(Away)
26 Sept
Burghausen
3 : 1
Munich 1860
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Burghausen
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2
Landsberg
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 11 6 3 2 13:7 21
3 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
4 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
5 Vfb Eichstatt 11 5 3 3 14:15 18
6 Burghausen 11 5 2 4 27:19 17
7 Munich 1860 10 4 5 1 20:13 17
8 Vilzing 10 4 4 2 17:15 16
9 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
10 Augsburg II 11 4 3 4 18:23 15
11 Bayern II 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
12 Bayreuth 11 4 1 6 17:18 13
13 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
14 Nurnberg II 10 3 1 6 18:17 10
15 Furth II 10 3 1 6 14:17 10
16 Ansbach 10 3 1 6 10:21 10
17 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 11 2 3 6 11:22 9
18 TSV Aubstadt 10 2 2 6 14:19 8
19 Landsberg 10 1 4 5 10:16 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)