Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NWS Spirit vs Wollongong

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Christie Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NWS Spirit play Wollongong in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, NWS Spirit averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Wollongong averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, NWS Spirit won 2, Wollongong won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for NWS Spirit and 1.00 for Wollongong. This points to a Wollongong double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
NWS Spirit
32%
Draws
34%
Wollongong
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Wollongong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • NWS Spirit picked up more points recently compared to Wollongong.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 23%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NWS Spirit Wollongong
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Wollongong
2:0
Mar 15, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs NWS Spirit
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs NWS Spirit
1:1
May 3, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Wollongong
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs NWS Spirit
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NWS Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Wollongong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NWS Spirit 35 / 100
Wollongong 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NWS Spirit Wollongong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wollongong or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NWS Spirit attacking → ← attacking Wollongong

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NWS Spirit scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Wollongong let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

NWS Spirit went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Wollongong lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 45
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918