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Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Nzoia Sugar and Darajani Gogo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nzoia Sugar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nzoia Sugar
44%
Draws
20%
Darajani Gogo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Darajani Gogo haven't matched Nzoia Sugar's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nzoia Sugar here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Nzoia Sugar Clean Sheet 24%
Darajani Gogo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzoia Sugar Darajani Gogo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo
2:0
Jan 12, 2026 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Nzoia Sugar
1:4
Jun 1, 2025 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Nzoia Sugar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzoia Sugar 37 / 100
Darajani Gogo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzoia Sugar Darajani Gogo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darajani Gogo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nzoia Sugar scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Nzoia Sugar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nzoia Sugar VS Darajani Gogo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzoia Sugar

(Home)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1
Fortune Sacco
27 May
Talanta FC
2 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
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Darajani Gogo

(Away)
13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3
Darajani Gogo
07 Jun
Darajani Gogo
2 : 1
Kisumu All-Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)