Sport Picks

Stadium Background

O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Stadion Stozice
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

O. Ljubljana play Aluminij in the Prva liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, O. Ljubljana averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Aluminij averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, O. Ljubljana won 4, Aluminij won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for O. Ljubljana and 0.94 for Aluminij. This points to a O. Ljubljana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
O. Ljubljana
19%
Draws
27%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • O. Ljubljana picked up more points recently compared to Aluminij.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 24%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O. Ljubljana Aluminij
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
2:1
Feb 5, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana
0:3
Apr 20, 2024 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O. Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O. Ljubljana 53 / 100
Aluminij 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O. Ljubljana Aluminij

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O. Ljubljana Win (1)
Secondary Pick O. Ljubljana & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

O. Ljubljana attacking → ← attacking Aluminij

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O. Ljubljana scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Aluminij let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

O. Ljubljana went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aluminij lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 26
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Celje34235685:3274
2Koper34207771:4367
3Bravo341951062:5162
4O. Ljubljana341671150:4055
5Maribor341581157:4353
6Radomlje341361550:6345
7Aluminij341061842:6136
8Mura34871935:5531
9Primorje34642431:7422
10Domzale18331217:3812