Sport Picks

Stadium Background

O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Boben M.
55'
Sub
Bajraj M. In: Susso B.
Out: Bajraj M.
62'
Sub
Marin A. In: Rose F.
Out: Marin A.

AI Match Summary

O. Ljubljana in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored O. Ljubljana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
O. Ljubljana
20%
Draws
32%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • O. Ljubljana have won more games recently than Aluminij.
  • O. Ljubljana are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and O. Ljubljana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 20%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O. Ljubljana Aluminij
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
2:1
Feb 5, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O. Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbancic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aluminij Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O. Ljubljana 36 / 100
Aluminij 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O. Ljubljana Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: O. Ljubljana scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Aluminij conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Aluminij has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

O. Ljubljana VS Aluminij
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

O. Ljubljana

(Home)
02 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Aluminij
25 Jul
Mura
1 : 0
O. Ljubljana
18 Jul
O. Ljubljana
0 : 2
Bravo
11 Jul
O. Ljubljana
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
05 Jul
O. Ljubljana
1 : 3
Rudes
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Aluminij

(Away)
02 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Aluminij
30 Jul
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Aluminij
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo City
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
16 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nafta 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Bravo 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Maribor 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
4 Koper 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
5 Grosuplje 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
6 Mura 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
7 O. Ljubljana 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
8 Celje 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
9 Aluminij 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
10 Radomlje 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)