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O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Boben M.
55'
Sub
Bajraj M. In: Susso B.
Out: Bajraj M.
62'
Sub
Marin A. In: Rose F.
Out: Marin A.

AI Match Summary

O. Ljubljana in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored O. Ljubljana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
O. Ljubljana
35%
Draws
24%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • O. Ljubljana have won more games recently than Aluminij.
  • O. Ljubljana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and O. Ljubljana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 68%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O. Ljubljana Aluminij
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.26 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
2:1
Feb 5, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O. Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbancic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aluminij Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O. Ljubljana 50 / 100
Aluminij 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O. Ljubljana Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O. Ljubljana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: O. Ljubljana scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Aluminij conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: O. Ljubljana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

O. Ljubljana VS Aluminij
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

O. Ljubljana

(Home)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
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Aluminij

(Away)
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)