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Oakland Roots vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Championship Laney College Football Stadium, Oakland, CA
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Match Events

9'
Goldthorp E.
20' Event
Goldthorp E.
Assist: Viera M.
34'
Sub
McCabe T. In: Jacquesson B.
Out: McCabe T.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Oakland Roots and Pittsburgh Riverhounds finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oakland Roots
30%
Draws
23%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oakland Roots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pittsburgh Riverhounds come out ahead of Oakland Roots on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Oakland Roots taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pittsburgh Riverhounds have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 68%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oakland Roots Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:2
Jul 13, 2024 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Oakland Roots
5:0
Jun 18, 2023 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:0
Oct 15, 2022 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Oakland Roots
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oakland Roots Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Goldthorp E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oakland Roots 50 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oakland Roots Pittsburgh Riverhounds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oakland Roots Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oakland Roots found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Oakland Roots went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oakland Roots VS Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oakland Roots

(Home)
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Orange County SC
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
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Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(Away)
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
3 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
4 New Mexico 26 12 7 7 39:31 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 26 8 9 9 35:38 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)