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Oberena vs Cirbonero

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Antomas J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Oberena and Cirbonero finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Oberena
35%
Draws
32%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cirbonero come out ahead of Oberena on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Oberena Clean Sheet 68%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberena Cirbonero
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Cirbonero
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Oberena
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Oberena
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Cirbonero
3:1
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Oberena
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberena 41 / 100
Cirbonero 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberena Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oberena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oberena found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Cirbonero has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Oberena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oberena VS Cirbonero
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberena

(Home)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 7

Cirbonero

(Away)
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
03 May
Huarte
2 : 0
Cirbonero
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)